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Trader behind $190 m crash bet also wagers on czโ€™s pardon

Trader Hits $190M Jackpot | Bets on CZ's Pardon Amid Speculation

By

Laura Shin

Oct 24, 2025, 05:11 PM

Edited By

Naomi Kim

3 minutes reading time

A trader standing in front of multiple screens showing stock market charts and news, making strategic decisions about investments, including a potential pardon.
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A trader, who recently made headlines by netting $190 million through savvy short bets, has taken a notable position on a potential pardon for Changpeng Zhao (CZ), the founder of Binance. This situation raises eyebrows as it unfolds amid wider discussions about insider trading in the crypto world.

Key Background

This trader, perhaps with ties to high-level insiders, previously profited from key decisions around Bitcoin and Ethereum, suggesting a level of foresight not commonly seen. Commentators speculate the recent $56,522 wager through Polymarket on Trump granting a pardon for CZ is another calculated move.

Curiously, while many critics see corruption, supporters argue that CZโ€™s significant investments made the possibility of such a pardon somewhat predictable.

Notable Comments and Sentiments

People reacted with a mix of humor and skepticism to the trader's decision. Here are three prevailing themes from the community:

  • Corruption Allegations: Frequent references to the potential for insider trading, implying that significant financial gains can stem from knowing private information. One user remarked, "Good thing crypto is super transparent" highlighting the ongoing debate about transparency in this space.

  • Skepticism Toward Defense: Several comments alluded to the trader possibly being connected to Trump, suggesting that privilege plays a role in these transactions. One blunt comment said, "It's easy, just bet on the winning horse every time"

  • Humorous Observations: A lighter tone prevailed with jokes about the implications of knowing someone in the political inner circle. One user quipped, "The guy he knows is the President of the United States"

Community Reactions

The sentiment across various platforms skews toward disbelief mixed with unease:

  • ๐Ÿ”ธ "Crime is legal but only if youโ€™re in the right club."

  • ๐Ÿ”ธ "This sets a dangerous precedent."

  • ๐Ÿ”ธ "Hilariously corrupt!"

This developing story highlights the close-knit relationship between crypto markets and political maneuvers. As more details emerge about this trader's tactics, the public remains on high alert about the potential implications for fairness in the market.

Key Insights

  • ๐Ÿš€ The trader successfully shorted Bitcoin and Ethereum before crucial announcements.

  • ๐Ÿ” Speculation about insider trading continues to grow among the public.

  • ๐Ÿ”— Community banter reflects deeper concerns about privilege and accountability in crypto markets.

How much power does insider knowledge grant those who wield it in the volatile crypto ecosystem?

High Stakes Predictions

As this situation evolves, experts estimate there's a high likelihood, around 70%, that discussions of a pardon for Changpeng Zhao will gain momentum. With political ties and financial incentives at play, people may see increased bets similar to the trader's recent wager of $56,522. If insiders remain active in the crypto space, this could lead to further charges of corruption or insider trading, potentially prompting regulators to scrutinize trades more closely. This scrutiny might result in new policies that could reshape the crypto market, especially if significant actions are taken before the next election.

Uncommon Historical Parallels

A surprising parallel can be drawn to the story of professional sports and their complicated relationships with gambling. In the mid-20th century, baseball was rocked by the Black Sox scandal, where players conspired to fix the 1919 World Series. While it seemed just a few players were involved, the fallout led to sweeping changes in how the league managed relationships with gambling. Similarly, the current crypto climate is set on a razor-edge; if ongoing allegations of insider trading gain traction, it might not only affect this trader but also catalyze serious reforms in how cryptocurrency exchanges operate, much like how the scandal transformed baseball's integrity.