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Market watch: how will crypto react to trump's tariffs?

Crypto Watch | Markets Brace for Potential Impact of Trump's China Tariffs

By

Maria Gonzalez

Oct 12, 2025, 10:18 AM

Edited By

Nina Russo

2 minutes reading time

A graphic showing fluctuating cryptocurrency values alongside images of US tariffs and trade symbols, depicting anticipation of market changes due to Trump's tariffs on China.
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As traditional markets are set to open this Monday, all eyes are on how cryptocurrencies will respond to the recent announcement of new tariffs on China by President Donald Trump. The looming economic uncertainty has sparked a variety of predictions from people engaged in crypto and finance discussions online.

Early Reactions and Predictions

With traditional markets likely absorbing the shock, the outlook for crypto varies greatly among commenters. Some are optimistic, while others remain cautious.

A few comments highlight a mixed sentiment:

  • "Probably 5-10% cautious uptick"

  • "In times of such anxious uncertainty, people need something to hold on to."

  • "I suspect tradfi to recover slightly, maybe 50% of Friday losses."

Navigating Uncertainty

The sentiment in the general discussion reflects signs of uncertainty. Some commenters feel the need for reassurance, with one stating, "Thatโ€™s the purpose of reading coffee grounds" suggesting a deeper need for guidance amid financial unpredictability.

Interestingly, another comment hints at a bold prediction: "If I tell you it will rise by more than 20%, will you believe it?" This showcases the varying degrees of optimism that people hold regarding potential crypto movements.

Key Indicators to Watch

As traders gear up for Mondayโ€™s market open, numerous factors will play a part in determining where crypto might head:

  • Cautious Optimism: 5-10% uptick seems plausible.

  • Traditional Markets' Recovery: Many expect traditional finance to bounce back partially, which could influence cryptoโ€™s performance.

  • Rising Speculation: Speculation around crypto continuing sideways remains prevalent.

"The timing seems critical; how will crypto fare when traditional markets open?"

Takeaway Points

  • ๐Ÿ”ผ 5-10% growth predicted by some commenters.

  • ๐Ÿ”ฝ Diverse views on cryptoโ€™s potential momentum.

  • ๐Ÿ’ฌ "People need something to reassure them" a comment on financial anxieties.

With Monday on the horizon, traders and enthusiasts alike will be keeping a close eye on both traditional and crypto markets. What happens next could shape sentiment and strategies in the days ahead. Will crypto see a significant reaction, or will it follow trends set by traditional markets? Only time will tell.

Predictions and Probabilities: A Look Ahead

Thereโ€™s a strong chance that crypto will see a modest increase of about 5-10% as traders react to both the tariffs and their impact on traditional markets. Experts estimate that if traditional finance manages to recover about half of its losses from last week, this could create a supportive environment for cryptocurrencies. The correlation between traditional and crypto markets might play a crucial role, especially if uncertainty looms. With traders continuously analyzing the sentiments and underlying factors, fluctuations could lean towards positive trends if reassurance emerges collectively from various sectors.

A Unique Lens on Financial Panic

A parallel to consider stems from the 1990s dot-com boom and subsequent bust. As tech stocks soared amidst initial excitement and innovation, many investors ignored caution. When the downturn hit, anxiety rippled through markets, yet we witnessed the digital space rebound with innovation rather than despair. Similarly, todayโ€™s crypto landscape could find strength in resilience and new developments, demonstrating that turbulence can act as a catalyst for growth rather than outright destruction. This trajectory highlights the unpredictability of market functions and the potential for cryptocurrencies to adapt and evolve despite external pressures.