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Bitcoin 30% below fair value according to nasdaq trends

Bitcoin's Value Plummets | Correlation to Nasdaq Raises Eyebrows

By

Michael O'Sullivan

Oct 26, 2025, 02:04 PM

2 minutes reading time

A graph showing Bitcoin's price significantly lower than expected values compared to Nasdaq trends
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Bitcoin continues to trade at a staggering 30% discount, raising eyebrows among investors. Many believe that based on its historical correlation with the Nasdaq, Bitcoin should currently be priced between $140,000 and $150,000. With market fluctuations intensifying, sentiments among investors contrast sharply.

Context and Conflicting Views

The disconnect between Bitcoin's current trading price and its anticipated value based on Nasdaq performance is more than just a financial anomaly; it reflects broader market uncertainties. Recent comments from users suggest that many are reconsidering their investment strategies, with some declaring, "Whomever told you that, lied." A strong belief exists among a vocal faction that Bitcoinโ€™s value reflects a cyclical downturn rather than a long-term depreciation.

The Focal Points of Discussion

  1. Expectations of Higher Value

Comments from forums indicate a strong belief that Bitcoin should be much higher. One contributor emphasized, "Looking at Nasdaq, Bitcoin should be around $140-150K right now."

  1. Cyclical Trends in Crypto

Another user noted the implications of a four-year cycle, stating, "4 year cycle over August 2025. Dead cat bounce last cycle too." This suggests a recurring pattern that could dictate future price movements.

  1. Skepticism Amidst Optimism

While some rally for change, others display skepticism. Negative remarks persist, highlighting a divide among investors.

"The timing seems off for many crypto enthusiasts, creating frustration and uncertainty."

Sentiment Around Bitcoin's Future

While some comments express optimism for a bounce-back in value, skepticism remains prevalent. The differing views reflect a divided sentiment in the crypto community, often oscillating between hope and dashed expectations.

Key Insights

  • ๐Ÿ’ฐ 30% devaluation raises questions about Bitcoin's market position.

  • ๐Ÿ“ˆ Many believe Bitcoin's value hinges on Nasdaq performance, targeting $140K-$150K.

  • ๐Ÿš€ "4 year cycle over August 2025" suggests possible recovery patterns, although not all agree.

As Bitcoin's journey continues, investors are left asking: Can it recover, or is a deeper dive on the horizon?

Future Trends in Bitcoin Valuation

Thereโ€™s a strong chance that Bitcoin could see a rebound in value as market behaviors align more closely with Nasdaq trends. If historical patterns hold, analysts suggest a potential price correction back to the $140,000-$150,000 range within the next year, particularly as traditional markets stabilize. However, there remains an estimated 40% probability that sentiment could shift negatively, leading to further declines as investors adjust their strategies. Factors such as shifting monetary policies and regulatory changes will likely play critical roles, influencing both investor confidence and market dynamics moving forward.

A Timely Reflection from the Past

To put the current Bitcoin scenario into perspective, consider the tech boom of the late 1990s. Many companies saw valuations soared due to market dynamics, often detached from fundamental realities. When the bubble burst, it mirrored current sentiments in cryptoโ€”a mix of wild optimism and harsh realities. Just as investors had to navigate the fallout, todayโ€™s crypto investors are challenged to reassess their strategies, learning from historyโ€™s bumps and bruises while holding on to the hope of eventual recovery.